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NKE - Nike

Nike is a North America covered company in The Hedge Book research universe.

Public company · North America · Consumer Discretionary · Footwear · Apparel · Dow constituent

NYSE · Consumer Discretionary · Research updated · Market data updated Research and source refreshes run four times daily. The timestamps above identify the latest successful research and market-data updates.
Hedge Score 25 /100
BullishBullish
Confidence85%
Community Bullish0%
Followers0
Current Price$42.111D +1.0%

Price History

NKE chart

79.1769.5659.9650.3540.75 Aug 2025Oct 2025Dec 2025Feb 2026Apr 2026Jun 2026Aug 2026 2025-08-11 74.022026-02-09 62.412026-08-10 42.11

AI-Assisted Chart Analysis

Nike technical analysis

Calculated from verified chart history for the selected tenor; no news or fundamental assumptions are used.

Technical only
Trend

Established downtrend: the latest level is below the 50-period average and the 50-period average is below the 200-period average.

Momentum

RSI is 46, a neutral reading. Above 70 can signal extension; below 30 can signal exhaustion.

Support scenario

The first technical watch zone is 40.99. A break below 40.75 invalidates the near-term support setup.

Resistance scenario

The first resistance/watch zone is 44.57. A confirmed break above 47.37 supports continuation.

Risk

Annualized realized volatility is +35.8%. Maximum lookback drawdown is -48.5%, from a high-water mark of 79.17 to 40.75.

Potential levels are conditional chart scenarios, not personalized advice or instructions to buy or sell.

How To Read This Stock Brief
Hedge Score

Higher means the current research setup is stronger across signal, confidence, catalysts, risk balance, and market context. Lower means the setup is weaker or less supported.

Confidence

Higher confidence means the evidence is more consistent and relevant. It does not mean the stock has that percentage chance of going up.

Signal

Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral is the current AI research stance. It is designed to help you ask better questions, not to replace your decision process.

Community Bullish

This shows how signed-in users are voting. It is useful sentiment context, not proof that the crowd is right.

Read the full Hedge Score and confidence methodology

What Changed Today

  • Yahoo Finance delayed market data reported NKE at 42.04 USD; the latest daily move rose +0.82%. This is a verified market-price signal only and does not by itself confirm a change in company fundamentals.

Why It Matters

  • The verified +0.82% daily move is current market context for Nike.
  • It can affect near-term sentiment, but price action alone does not establish a change in earnings, asset quality, competitive position, valuation, catalysts, or risks.
  • Those require a separately sourced filing or company update.

AI Opinion

  • Read: The current evidence-grounded AI read is bullish.
  • Evidence: While the company is attempting to stabilize through a renewed focus on performance products and basketball, the competitive landscape is increasingly fragmented, with brands like On Holding demonstrating superior growth momentum.
  • Uncertainty: The primary uncertainty remains the efficacy of the China reset; if the company fails to show meaningful revenue recovery in this region, the 'Win Now' strategy may be viewed as a capital-intensive failure.
  • Watch: A shift to a bullish view would require verifiable evidence of margin expansion and a reversal of the current revenue growth deceleration, rather than just management commentary.

Key Risks

  • Continued deterioration in the China market could lead to further earnings misses, as this region remains a critical pillar for Nike's global growth targets.
  • Increased promotional activity to clear inventory or defend market share against agile competitors could permanently impair gross margins, limiting the company's ability to fund future innovation.
  • If the 'Win Now' strategy fails to resonate with younger demographics, Nike risks a long-term structural decline in brand equity, which would be difficult to reverse through marketing spend alone.

Upcoming Catalysts

  • Future quarterly earnings reports will be the primary catalyst to confirm if the 'Win Now' strategy is translating into tangible revenue growth or merely higher operating expenses.
  • Updates on inventory levels and average selling prices in upcoming filings will provide the necessary data to determine if margin pressure is stabilizing or worsening.
  • Any official disclosure regarding the success of the basketball category expansion would serve as a leading indicator of whether the company's product-led turnaround is gaining consumer traction.

Upcoming Events

No verified update available

Last Updated

Sources and verification

Each generated research claim remains linked to its supporting update. Primary evidence comes from filings, company materials, or regulators; secondary evidence provides additional context.

  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedYou Can Do Better Than Nike. Buy This High-Yield Dividend Stock Instead. · Published 2026-08-10 09:06:39Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedNike Stock Is Down 76% From Its High. Is It Time to Invest in a Possible Comeback? · Published 2026-08-10 09:06:39Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedTwo Divorces, Ten Children And A $2 Billion Fortune: Meet The Utah Couple Behind An E-Commerce Empire · Published 2026-08-10 09:06:39Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedSeaport Entertainment Gr Q2 Earnings Call Highlights · Published 2026-08-10 09:06:39Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedNike (NKE) Is Betting Big on Basketball’s Next Generation. Will It Pay Off? - Yahoo Finance · Published 2026-08-10 09:06:39Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
Market-data attributionYahoo Finance delayed market data · provider detailsMarket prices are supporting signals only and do not establish the research conclusion.

Community View

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Disclaimer

The Hedge Book provides AI-assisted educational market research. It is not a registered investment adviser, broker, dealer, or financial planner. Content may contain errors and should be independently verified. Do not treat this page as personalized advice to buy, sell, or hold any security.