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WMT - Walmart

Walmart is a North America covered company in The Hedge Book research universe.

Public company · North America · Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail · E-commerce · Dow constituent

NASDAQ · Consumer Staples · Research updated · Market data updated Research and source refreshes run four times daily. The timestamps above identify the latest successful research and market-data updates.
Hedge Score 45 /100
BullishBullish
Confidence75%
Community Bullish0%
Followers0
Current Price$112.661D +0.7%

Price History

WMT chart

134.20124.66115.12105.5996.05 Aug 2025Oct 2025Dec 2025Feb 2026Apr 2026Jun 2026Aug 2026 2025-08-11 103.932026-02-09 129.022026-08-10 112.66

AI-Assisted Chart Analysis

Walmart technical analysis

Calculated from verified chart history for the selected tenor; no news or fundamental assumptions are used.

Technical only
Trend

Established downtrend: the latest level is below the 50-period average and the 50-period average is below the 200-period average.

Momentum

RSI is 58, a neutral reading. Above 70 can signal extension; below 30 can signal exhaustion.

Support scenario

The first technical watch zone is 108.40. A break below 108.40 invalidates the near-term support setup.

Resistance scenario

The first resistance/watch zone is 114.95. A confirmed break above 134.20 supports continuation.

Risk

Annualized realized volatility is +24.5%. Maximum lookback drawdown is -19.2%, from a high-water mark of 134.20 to 108.40.

Potential levels are conditional chart scenarios, not personalized advice or instructions to buy or sell.

How To Read This Stock Brief
Hedge Score

Higher means the current research setup is stronger across signal, confidence, catalysts, risk balance, and market context. Lower means the setup is weaker or less supported.

Confidence

Higher confidence means the evidence is more consistent and relevant. It does not mean the stock has that percentage chance of going up.

Signal

Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral is the current AI research stance. It is designed to help you ask better questions, not to replace your decision process.

Community Bullish

This shows how signed-in users are voting. It is useful sentiment context, not proof that the crowd is right.

Read the full Hedge Score and confidence methodology

What Changed Today

  • Yahoo Finance delayed market data reported WMT at 111.96 USD; the latest daily move rose +0.09%. This is a verified market-price signal only and does not by itself confirm a change in company fundamentals.

Why It Matters

  • The verified +0.09% daily move is current market context for Walmart.
  • It can affect near-term sentiment, but price action alone does not establish a change in earnings, asset quality, competitive position, valuation, catalysts, or risks.
  • Those require a separately sourced filing or company update.

AI Opinion

  • Read: The current evidence-grounded AI read is bullish.
  • Evidence: comparable sales could trigger further volatility.
  • Uncertainty: The recent downgrade by Oppenheimer serves as a reminder that even high-performing retailers are subject to re-rating when growth expectations are high and the macro environment remains uncertain.
  • Watch: Investors should monitor the upcoming earnings call for specific commentary on pharmacy margins and the impact of the recent operational resets on store-level productivity.

Key Risks

  • Pharmacy-related headwinds could compress margins, as the competitive landscape for GLP-1 and other high-demand medications intensifies among major retailers.
  • Operational disruptions from store-level resets, such as the recent shopping cart safety adjustments, could lead to temporary inefficiencies and increased labor or capital costs.
  • A potential slowdown in U.S. comparable sales growth, if realized in the upcoming earnings report, would likely validate the 'peak valuation' thesis and lead to further downward pressure on the stock price.
  • Macroeconomic sensitivity remains a risk, as any significant decline in consumer spending on discretionary items would disproportionately impact the company's retail segment.

Upcoming Catalysts

  • The August 20 earnings release is the primary catalyst, with investors looking for confirmation of sustained eCommerce growth and clarity on the impact of pharmacy-related headwinds.
  • Updates on the integration and scaling of the Vibe.co acquisition within Walmart Connect will be key to evaluating the long-term growth trajectory of the high-margin advertising business.
  • Continued expansion of the drone delivery network and healthcare services could provide incremental revenue streams, though the speed of adoption and profitability of these initiatives remain to be proven.
  • Any further announcements regarding energy procurement or supply chain efficiencies could serve as positive indicators for long-term margin stability.

Upcoming Events

No verified update available

Last Updated

Sources and verification

Each generated research claim remains linked to its supporting update. Primary evidence comes from filings, company materials, or regulators; secondary evidence provides additional context.

  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedCharlie Lass: Championing Startup Success and Founder Well-Being · Published 2026-08-10 00:10:20Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedWalmart (WMT) Stock Price Prediction: Where Our Price Target Sees the Stock Going Over the Next 12 Months · Published 2026-08-10 00:10:20Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReported3 Reasons to Buy and Hold This Dividend King (and 1 Reason Not To) · Published 2026-08-10 00:10:20Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedConstellation (CEG) Locks In More Power Deals As Nuclear Output Slips · Published 2026-08-10 00:10:20Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
  • Published stock briefSecondary sourceReportedHome Depot Has Raised Its Dividend for 17 Consecutive Years and Reports Earnings Aug. 18. Is It the Smarter Dow Stock to Buy Over Walmart? · Published 2026-08-10 00:10:20Open verification sourceSupports: Published stock brief
Market-data attributionYahoo Finance delayed market data · provider detailsMarket prices are supporting signals only and do not establish the research conclusion.

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Disclaimer

The Hedge Book provides AI-assisted educational market research. It is not a registered investment adviser, broker, dealer, or financial planner. Content may contain errors and should be independently verified. Do not treat this page as personalized advice to buy, sell, or hold any security.