The Hedge Book logo The Hedge Book Read smarter. Invest better.

← Back to Commodities

Covered Commodity and Power Product

RBOB Gasoline

RB=F · Front-month continuous futures · USD per gallon

Current futures price$3.26
Current price$3.26
Daily return-8.6%
Weekly return-7.6%
Monthly return-1.9%
YTD return+91.1%
Contract monthNov 26
Contract expirationUnavailable
Rollover statusProvider-managed front-month continuous series; exact rollover methodology not supplied
Contract seriesFront-month continuous futures
RegionUnited States
Price-feed statusDelayed market data enabled
UnitsUSD per gallon
CurrencyUSD
ProviderYahoo Finance delayed futures data
Timestamp

Historical chart

RBOB Gasoline historical futures price 3.903.312.732.141.562025-09-222025-11-192026-01-232026-03-252026-05-262026-07-282026-09-25 Date Futures price
2025-09-22 to 2026-09-25 · Range 1.68 to 3.77

AI-Assisted Chart Analysis

RBOB Gasoline technical analysis

Calculated from verified chart history for the selected tenor; no news or fundamental assumptions are used.

Technical only
Trend

Mixed trend: the latest level is below its 20-period average, without full long-term confirmation.

Momentum

RSI is 52, a neutral reading. Above 70 can signal extension; below 30 can signal exhaustion.

Support scenario

The first technical watch zone is 3.10. A break below 2.84 invalidates the near-term support setup.

Resistance scenario

The first resistance/watch zone is 3.59. A confirmed break above 3.59 supports continuation.

Risk

Annualized realized volatility is +45.6%. Maximum lookback drawdown is -24.7%, from a high-water mark of 3.77 to 2.84.

Potential levels are conditional chart scenarios, not personalized advice or instructions to buy or sell.

Current signal

  • RBOB Gasoline front-month futures are trading at 3.307 USD per gallon.
  • The asset exhibits a sharp short-term downward price trajectory, contrasting with a strong year-to-date performance.

What changed

  • The front-month contract experienced a decline of approximately 7.81% in the most recent session.
  • One-week performance is down 5.72%, marking a reversal from the 1.65% gain observed over the trailing month.
  • Despite recent volatility, the contract maintains a significant year-to-date gain of 93.90%.

Why it matters

  • Gasoline price volatility directly influences consumer discretionary spending and headline inflation expectations.
  • The rapid shift in price momentum suggests a potential adjustment in market sentiment regarding refined product supply and demand balances.

Bullish factors

  • The year-to-date performance of 93.90% indicates a strong underlying trend that persists despite recent corrections.
  • The asset retains a positive one-month return of 1.65%, suggesting that the broader trend remains intact above the recent sell-off.

Bearish factors

  • The recent 7.81% single-session decline indicates a significant increase in selling pressure.
  • The one-week performance of -5.72% confirms a negative short-term momentum shift.

Key catalysts

  • Market participants monitor EIA petroleum status reports, which provide official data on inventories, implied demand, and refinery utilization.
  • Changes in refinery utilization rates and seasonal demand specifications act as primary drivers for RBOB price discovery.

Key risks

  • Refined product markets are susceptible to volatility stemming from unexpected shifts in refinery operations or supply-chain disruptions.
  • The reliance on front-month continuous futures introduces rollover risk for investors maintaining long-term positions.

Upcoming reports

Market participants continue to monitor the EIA's weekly petroleum status reports for updates on inventories and refinery operations.

Latest verified updates

  • CME Group provides official contract specifications, margin requirements, and calendar data for RBOB Gasoline futures.
  • Morningstar reporting confirms recent settlement price volatility, noting a 1.64% decline in a prior session.

Sources

Yahoo Finance delayed futures data

Last updated: